According to an article from the UNEP dated February 23, 2010 “Countries will have to be far more ambitious in cutting these emissions if the world is to effectively curb the rise in global temperature by 2°C or less. This is the conclusion of a new greenhouse gas modeling study based on the estimates of researchers at nine leading centers, compiled by the UN environment program (UNEP).” The current estimates are that between 2020 and 2050, global emissions will need to fall by 48 to 72%, indicating and need to cut these gases by around 3% over the 30 year is also needed in fact these emissions should not be larger than 40 to 48.3 gigatons of equivalent CO2 in 2020 and should peak sometime between 2015 and 2021. If we follow this emissions model there is a 50-50 chance of keeping a global temperature rises and below who 2°C.
According to the report, current projections for the missions are well above that 40 to 48.3 gigatons emission output. This is why we need to make more aggressive moves towards curbing the rise of CO2 exhaust as quickly as possible. As it stands now there is a gap of .5 and 8.8 gigatons of CO2 equivalent per year amounting to an average shortfall in emission cuts of 4.7 gigatons. At this rate, with all the pledges from Copenhagen even if they were to follow those pledges we will not be able to keep the temperature rise at 2°C limit.
There can be many reasons for countries to make a transition to a low carbon resource efficient green economy including global warming which is the key reason. Energy security reducing air pollution and diversified energy resources can also be important keys to transition to a low carbon green economy.
While this is ongoing, we are making progress slowly but surely, but it won’t be adequate to keep the 2° limit. Unfortunately our politicians have other agendas which they desire to fulfill, and global warming at this point is definitely not one of them. In fact with the current power structure at Capitol Hill, I have serious concerns whether they will ever develop a truly green energy policy. They at least are talking the talk now, but they need to step up to the plate and truly walk the walk. As they say, actions speak louder than words, and as of right now there is no action whatsoever.
What can we do? As citizens of this great planet, we can do our part even if the government is unwilling to take action on this issue. We can try and reduce our own exhaust emissions and green up our lives, which if enough of us do this, we may make significant strides in curbing our harmful emissions. So in essence we have to pick up the slack of our government and take matters into our own hands and do what we can as individuals to reduce the effects of climate change. Maybe then there will be a consensus on Capitol Hill to finally take action and do something positive for the climate and people for a change instead of themselves. We can create groups, networks and other organizations to put our own plans into action. There are already some groups taking the lead so to speak, but the truly peak CO2 emissions and avoid breaching the 2°C limit, we will need much more participation and action. We can do this, we can rise to this occasion and accomplish this task as a nation just like we rose up as the nation to defeat the Nazis in World War II. The time has come now for us to take action, we cannot afford to procrastinate and debate any further. We must rise up now and do our part to get the message across that we do care and that we are willing to make sacrifices if need be to protect the climate from future climate change devastation. As the numbers of us rise, hopefully our fearless leaders will get the message and take actions of their own to help in the cause. Peace my friends for now, and Godspeed.